Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,569$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(122 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $24$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(0.181 \times 10^{0.041t}\) (doubling rate \(7.4\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,024$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,513$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(764 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,168.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.6)}}\) (asimptote \(12,168.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $661$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(134 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{587.3}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 29.4)}}\) (asimptote \(587.3\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,958$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,195$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(55 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22,294.5}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 105.1)}}\) (asimptote \(22,294.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $72$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(9.13 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{118.0}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 61.5)}}\) (asimptote \(118.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,669$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $34,357$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(452 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{463,956.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 121.8)}}\) (asimptote \(463,956.9\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $705$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(18.3 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.3\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,361$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $26,384$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(505 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{191,885.7}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 115.8)}}\) (asimptote \(191,885.7\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,005$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(83.5 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,273.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 56.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,273.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,932$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,306$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(24.3 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(12.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,275.3}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 71.5)}}\) (asimptote \(2,275.3\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(1.52 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14.2}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 25.2)}}\) (asimptote \(14.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,094$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $335$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(165 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(58.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.7}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(5.39 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(63.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.9}{1 + 10^{-0.081 (t - 11.9)}}\) (asimptote \(9.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-06-01
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,655$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(25.5 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,699.8}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,699.8\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $17$ on 2020-06-01
Best fit exponential: \(0.64 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{19.5}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 56.7)}}\) (asimptote \(19.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,916$ on 2020-06-01